Thursday, January 3, 2008

copper trend indicater

Copper:

Copper trade on ACCESS is showing weaker prices in recent activity extending the prior sessions weaker close. Trend indicators are indicating a bearish market. However the overall strength of the trend, as indicated by the ADX, is weak and should be watched as a result.

TREND INDICATORS:

Simple Moving Average (10-Day): Recent activity this morning has seen prices trade above this moving average. Also, the slope of the moving average is in an upward slope from the previous session indicating further strength. As a result the 10-Day simple moving average has a strong bullish bias.

Simple Moving Average (25-Day): Recent activity this morning has seen prices trade above this moving average. Also, the slope of the moving average is in an upward slope from the previous session indicating further strength. As a result the 25-Day simple moving average has a strong bullish bias.

Simple Moving Average (50-Day): Recent activity this morning has seen prices trade below this moving average. Also, the slope of the moving average is in a downward slope from the previous session indicating further weakness. As a result the 50-Day simple moving average has a strong bearish bias.

ADX: The Average Directional Change (ADX) indicates the strength of a markets underlying trend. A rising ADX is interpreted as building trend strength, while a falling ADX indicates weakness in the underlying trend and the potential of a market reversal. On this market, the 14-Day ADX is falling, while the long term trend, based on a 50-Day moving average, is down. However, the weak ADX indicates that the current trend is deteriorating and may possibly reverse. Look for a choppiness ahead.

MOMENTUM INDICATORS:
MACD: The MACD is in bullish territory. However, the recent downturn in the difference between the MACD and the MACD signal line may indicate a short term decline over the next few days.

RSI: The 14-Day RSI is in neutral territory. (RSI is at 49.16). This indicator issues bullish signals when the RSI line dips below the oversold zone (currently set at 20.00); a bearish signal is generated when the RSI rises into the overbought zone (currently set at 80.00). Nevertheless with the RSI at 49.16 the market is somewhat oversold. However, this by itself isn't a strong enough indication to signal a trade. Look for additional evidence of strength from this indicator before getting too bullish here.

VOLATILITY INDICATORS:

Bollinger Bands (20-Day Average +/-1 Standard Deviation): As prices are closer to the bottom band than the top band, the Bollinger Bands are indicating overbought prices.

RESISTANCE AND SUPPORT LEVELS:

3.6500 - Highest High in last 50-Days
3.3836 - 200-Day Simple Moving Average
3.3102 - 100-Day Simple Moving Average
3.2100 - Highest High in last 10-Days
3.2036 - 20-Day Simple Moving Average Plus 2 Standard Deviations
3.1550 - 50-Day Simple Moving Average
3.1228 - 20-Day Simple Moving Average Plus 1 Standard Deviation
3.0945 - High
3.0912 - 3-Day Simple Moving Average
3.0695 - Last Price
3.0665 - Low
3.0479 - 25-Day Simple Moving Average
3.0392 - 10-Day Simple Moving Average
2.9613 - 20-Day Simple Moving Average Minus 1 Standard Deviation
2.8805 - 20-Day Simple Moving Average Minus 2 Standard Deviations
2.8530 - Lowest Low in last 10-Days
2.8530 - Lowest Low in last 50-Days

MCXARUN
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