DGCX Gold Outlook 5th Feb, 09

U.S. gold futures settled up 1 percent yesterday, rebounding from the previous session's decline on worries over massive liquidity injections by central banks and the expectation of more uptrend in precious metals in light of major brokerage upgraded its price forecast.

Gold prices rose yesterday despite strong dollar as Passage of President Barack Obama's $825 billion proposed economic stimulus package would likely be inflationary.

According to the report from UBS, Gold investment demand will double in 2009 compared to 2007, and gold prices will average $1,000 an ounce in 2009.

The U.S. Census Bureau said that construction spending was at an annual rate of $1.054 trillion in December, down 1.4% from November's pace. For all of 2008, construction spending totaled $1.079 trillion, down 5.1% from a year ago.

International spot gold traded in the range $ 908.70- $ 894.50a Troy Ounce and last quoted at $905.40

Weekly Outlook (DG. OCT.)

$933 is the major resistances .If sustain above that level, expect more uptrend. Resistances are $954, $968, $988. Supports are at $909, $899, $881 and $862.

Last day DGCX Gold APR. Traded in the range $910.30-$896.60and closed at $ 905.40

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (Intra-day)

GOLD (APR) - Bullish above $ 899bearish below $ 894



MCXARUN
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DGCX Crude Outlook 5th Feb, 09

U.S. crude oil futures closed lower yesterday as the inventory data and economic concerns.

The U.S. Department of Energy said that crude oil stocks were up 7.2 million barrels to 346.1 million barrels and 700,000 barrels were added to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Supplies of gasoline were up 300,000 barrels while heating oil supplies were up 1.4 million barrels.

The DOE also said that refinery use increased from 82.5% to 83.5% of capacity last week. Over the past four weeks, gasoline demand was down 0.5% from a year ago while distillate demand was down 3.7% from a year ago.

On weekly basis ,U.S. crude futures ended weak last week , as gloomy economic data kept concerns about demand in focus even as the possibility of a refinery worker strike in the United States . Large inventory data from US also added pressure in to the crude oil prices.

Weekly Crude Oil (DWTI January.)

48.40 And 44.30 is the trading range, breaking either side may clear the direction. Resistances are $50.50, 52.40, and 54.30. Supports are at $41.60, $39.30, $ 37.00

DWTI (MAR) traded in the range $41.40 - $39.95and closed at $40.32

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (Intra-day)
DGCX Crude (MAR) - Bullish above $40.60bearish below $40.00

MCXARUN
9994500540

safe trade calls

GOLD

Continue to view as long Support of 13925 & 13740 uptrend seen continue. for the day buy abv 14175 S/L 14145 and T/p 14230-240/sustain abv towards 14350-425 OR buy ard 13860-865 S/L 13850 and T/p 13925-14000, anytime sustain close above 14450 seen new uprally for medium term (any time close above 14450 bullish while close below 13740/13350/13025/12750 bearish for medium term)


SILVER

Continue to view as long Support of 19550/19400 & 18900 uptrend seen continue. we book profit on buy abv 19800, fresh buy only abv 19900 S/L 19810 and T/p 20025-50/sustain close above test 20350 atleast/towards 20800 in coming days OR buy ard 19420-430 S/L 19400 and T/p 19550-19650 (any time close below 18900-525/18000/ 17375/16925/16100/15775 bearish rally while close above 20050/20975/21725 bullish for medium term)


CRUDE


PRICE TURN EXACT FROM OUR GIVEN RESISTANCE=2050 AS DAYS HIGH WAS 2049. Continue to view as long Resistance of 2050-60 & 2130 down trend seen continue. for the day sell below 1975 S/L 1990 and T/p 1965-50/1925/sustain close below 1925 potential towards 1780-1580 in coming days OR sell ard 2055-60 S/L 2065 and T/p 2040-2020 (now crude need to close above 2130/2320/2650-75/2950 for bullish rally while close below 1925 bearish for medium term)


COPPER


we book profit on sell last, for the day sell only below 163 S/L 165 and T/p 161-158 OR sell ard 169.4-169.6 S/L 170 and T/p 167-165 (upside strong rally only on close above 174-175/183.5/ 191.5/197.5/204.5/219/238/271 while close below 150.5/144/138.5 bearish for medium term)


MCXARUN
9994500540