Gold prices edged up on Friday as the Dollar continued weak and oil prices recovered to settle above $106 a barrel.
International spot gold traded in the range $899.20 - $914.40 and last quoted at $912.90.
The dollar descended further against the Euro on Friday, extending the losing streak, as downbeat employment data from the US dampened the sentiments of investors on the greenback.
Non-farm payrolls fell by an estimated 80,000 in March, according to the latest release from US Labor Department on Friday.
Also, the unemployment rate in the US rose to 5.1% in March, the highest since September 2005.
Earlier, data from the US Labor Department on Thursday had shown initial claims for unemployment benefits rose by 38,000 to 407,000 in the week ended March 29, their highest level since September 2005. The four-week average of initial claims rose by 15,750 to 374,500.
Continuing jobless claims also recorded a rise, by 97,000 to 2.94 million; the four-week average of continuing claims increased by 32,250 to 2.86 million.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, in testimony to Congress, had said that the outlook for US economic growth had worsened since January and the possibility of a recession could not be ruled out.
The Institute for Supply Management reported that its March non-manufacturing composite index moved to a reading of 49.6 from 49.3 in February and 44.6 in January.
Medium term outlook (Spot Gold)
Bullish above $916; Resistances are $926, $932, $947, $954, $973, $984, $995, $1002, $1022, $1035, $1052; supports $896, $883. Further up-trend is expected above $954.60.
Last day DGCX Gold June traded in the range $904.00 – $918.70 and closed at $918.00 ($909.00).
DGCX Gold June
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (Intra-day)
GOLD (June) - Bullish above $ 917; bearish below $ 912
MCXARUN
9994500540
Monday, April 7, 2008
Energy intraday
Major Headline:
- Oil jumped as investors poured money back into commodities on expectations of an interest rate cut in the United States and in hope that raw materials will provide them with a useful hedge against wider market weakness.
- Such weakness was confirmed earlier today in poor U.S. data, which reignited fears of a recession and sparked talk of another interest rate cut.
- Data out earlier from the Labor Department showed the U.S. economy has shed jobs for three consecutive months, losing 80,000 non-farm jobs in March, compared to an expected 50,000 job-loss forecast by analysts.
- The data also showed unemployment rose to its highest level in two and a half years the same month.
- Oil prices have not headed lower in response, as players choose to set aside for now longer-term fears that oil demand will decline as US economic growth withers.
- According to data released Wednesday by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, demand for crude oil products fell an annual 1.3 percent over the last four weeks, while crude stocks surged 7.4 million barrels last week.
- On the other hand, however, the data also showed gasoline stocks declined by a much larger than expected 4.5 million barrels last week. Traders chose to focus on this figure rather than on falling demand or rising crude stocks.
- As a result, oil prices rose sharply on Wednesday, but have since retraced some of those gains.
MCX Crude Oil April
Technical Outlook:Momentum studies are bullish but are now at overbought levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over up which is a bullish indication. The stochastics indicators are rising from oversold level, which is bullish and should support higher prices. The market's short-term trend is positive as the close remains above the 21-day EMA. The downside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat negative.
Recommendations-MCX Crude Oil April: Buy at 4180-60 Target 4255 and 4285 Stop loss 4145
MCX Natural gas April
Technical Outlook: Momentum studies are bearish but are now at oversold levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over down which is a bearish indication. The stochastics indicators are decreasing from overbought level, which is bearish and should support lower prices. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day EMA. The upside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat positive.
Recommendations- MCX Natural Gas April: Sell at 380 Target 370 and 363 Stop loss 385.50
MCXARUN
9994500540
- Oil jumped as investors poured money back into commodities on expectations of an interest rate cut in the United States and in hope that raw materials will provide them with a useful hedge against wider market weakness.
- Such weakness was confirmed earlier today in poor U.S. data, which reignited fears of a recession and sparked talk of another interest rate cut.
- Data out earlier from the Labor Department showed the U.S. economy has shed jobs for three consecutive months, losing 80,000 non-farm jobs in March, compared to an expected 50,000 job-loss forecast by analysts.
- The data also showed unemployment rose to its highest level in two and a half years the same month.
- Oil prices have not headed lower in response, as players choose to set aside for now longer-term fears that oil demand will decline as US economic growth withers.
- According to data released Wednesday by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, demand for crude oil products fell an annual 1.3 percent over the last four weeks, while crude stocks surged 7.4 million barrels last week.
- On the other hand, however, the data also showed gasoline stocks declined by a much larger than expected 4.5 million barrels last week. Traders chose to focus on this figure rather than on falling demand or rising crude stocks.
- As a result, oil prices rose sharply on Wednesday, but have since retraced some of those gains.
MCX Crude Oil April
Technical Outlook:Momentum studies are bullish but are now at overbought levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over up which is a bullish indication. The stochastics indicators are rising from oversold level, which is bullish and should support higher prices. The market's short-term trend is positive as the close remains above the 21-day EMA. The downside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat negative.
Recommendations-MCX Crude Oil April: Buy at 4180-60 Target 4255 and 4285 Stop loss 4145
MCX Natural gas April
Technical Outlook: Momentum studies are bearish but are now at oversold levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over down which is a bearish indication. The stochastics indicators are decreasing from overbought level, which is bearish and should support lower prices. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day EMA. The upside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat positive.
Recommendations- MCX Natural Gas April: Sell at 380 Target 370 and 363 Stop loss 385.50
MCXARUN
9994500540
basemetals intraday
Major US Economic Data
- The U.S. Labor Department said that the unemployment rate jumped from 4.8% to 5.1% in March, the highest in over two years with a loss of 80,000 in non-farm payrolls, weaker than expected. The March eurodollars are trading higher.
- The Labor Department also revised January's non-farm payrolls from -22,000 to -76,000 jobs. February was revised from -63,000 to -76,000. The June U.S. T-bonds are trading higher
Major Headline:
- Copper gained for a third day in New York on speculation that a slumping dollar will boost demand for commodities as a hedge against inflation.
- Shanghai copper stockpiles rose 4.7 percent to 58,195 metric tons, the Shanghai Futures Exchange said in a report after the market closed yesterday. Copper inventories in London Metal Exchange warehouses climbed to 112,575 tons yesterday.
- Production of copper will probably increase 5.7 percent in 2009 to 20.287 million tons, while consumption will probably rise 4.7 percent to 20.078 million tons, according to the Lehman report. This year, production is expected to gain 5.5 percent to 19.187 million tons, while consumption rises 5.6 percent to 19.181 million tons.
- Lead production will rise 6.2 percent next year to 9.242 million tons as consumption rises 3.9 percent to 9.075 million tons, he said in the report.
- Production of nickel will probably rise 8.2 percent to 1.653 million tons, while demand increases 5.9 percent to 1.642 million tons, according to the Lehman report. Zinc output may gain 6.6 percent to 13.564 million tons as demand increases 4.5 percent to 12.932 million tons, Widmer wrote.
- The dollar fell against a basket of six major currencies after a government report showed the U.S. lost jobs for a third month in March, increasing concern that the economy is in a recession. Before today, copper had jumped 28 percent this year as a plunging dollar increased the appeal of raw materials as a store of value.
- U.S. employers cut 80,000 jobs in March, the Labor Department said today. Economists had forecast a loss of 50,000,the median of 79 surveyed by Bloomberg News. While the U.S. employment data point to weakening copper demand, this was overshadowed by the sliding dollar, Gross said.
- The U.S. Dollar Index, the basket of six major currencies including the yen and euro, dropped 0.4 percent after the Labor Department report. The report showed that the U.S. unemployment rate rose to 5.1 percent last month from 4.8 percent in February, the highest since September 2005.
- Aluminum price forecasts for 2008 have been raised by Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., Standard Bank Group Ltd., Deutsche Bank AG, Standard Chartered Plc and UBS AG since late last month. Supply of the metal used in beverage cans and cars may be curtailed following energy shortages in China and South Africa that have fueled increased production costs.
- South Korea's Public Procurement Service, a state-run body that manages strategic commodities, issued a tender to buy 6,000 metric tons of aluminum ingots due for shipment by June 30.
- Suppliers are to submit offers by 2 p.m. Seoul time on April 16 for the high-grade primary aluminum from Russia, China, Egypt or India, according to the procurement agency's Web site. The metal will be purchased at premiums over the London Metal Exchange official cash settlement prices.
MCX Copper April
Technical Outlook: Momentum studies are bullish but are now at overbought levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over up which is a bullish indication. The stochastics indicators are rising from oversold level, which is bullish and should support higher prices. The market's short-term trend is positive as the close remains above the 9-day EMA. The downside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat negative.
Recommendations - MCX Copper April: Buy at 343 Target 349 and 352 Stop loss at 339.50
MCX Zinc April
Technical Outlook: Momentum studies are bullish but are now at overbought levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over up which is a bullish indication. The stochastics indicators are rising from oversold level, which is bullish and should support higher prices. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day EMA. The upside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat positive.
Recommendations - MCX Zinc April: Buy at 93.50 Target 96 and 97.50 Stop loss at 92.80
are bullish but are now at overbought levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The have crossed over up which is a bullish indication. The stochastics indicators are rising from oversold level, which is bullish and should support higher prices. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day EMA. The upside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat positive.
MCX Nickel April
Technical Outlook: Momentum studies are bullish but are now at overbought levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over up which is a bullish indication. The stochastics indicators are rising from oversold level, which is bullish and should support higher prices. The market's
short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day EMA. The upside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat positive.
Recommendations: MCX Nickel April: Sell at 1190 Target 1155 and 1135 Stop loss at 1218
MCX Lead April
Technical Outlook: Momentum studies are bearish but are now at oversold levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over down which is a bearish indication. The stochastics indicators are decreasing from overbought level, which is bearish and should support lower prices. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day EMA. The upside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat positive.
Recommendations: MCX Lead April: Buy at 117.50 Target 120 and 122 Stop loss at 116.10
MCXARUN
9994500540
- The U.S. Labor Department said that the unemployment rate jumped from 4.8% to 5.1% in March, the highest in over two years with a loss of 80,000 in non-farm payrolls, weaker than expected. The March eurodollars are trading higher.
- The Labor Department also revised January's non-farm payrolls from -22,000 to -76,000 jobs. February was revised from -63,000 to -76,000. The June U.S. T-bonds are trading higher
Major Headline:
- Copper gained for a third day in New York on speculation that a slumping dollar will boost demand for commodities as a hedge against inflation.
- Shanghai copper stockpiles rose 4.7 percent to 58,195 metric tons, the Shanghai Futures Exchange said in a report after the market closed yesterday. Copper inventories in London Metal Exchange warehouses climbed to 112,575 tons yesterday.
- Production of copper will probably increase 5.7 percent in 2009 to 20.287 million tons, while consumption will probably rise 4.7 percent to 20.078 million tons, according to the Lehman report. This year, production is expected to gain 5.5 percent to 19.187 million tons, while consumption rises 5.6 percent to 19.181 million tons.
- Lead production will rise 6.2 percent next year to 9.242 million tons as consumption rises 3.9 percent to 9.075 million tons, he said in the report.
- Production of nickel will probably rise 8.2 percent to 1.653 million tons, while demand increases 5.9 percent to 1.642 million tons, according to the Lehman report. Zinc output may gain 6.6 percent to 13.564 million tons as demand increases 4.5 percent to 12.932 million tons, Widmer wrote.
- The dollar fell against a basket of six major currencies after a government report showed the U.S. lost jobs for a third month in March, increasing concern that the economy is in a recession. Before today, copper had jumped 28 percent this year as a plunging dollar increased the appeal of raw materials as a store of value.
- U.S. employers cut 80,000 jobs in March, the Labor Department said today. Economists had forecast a loss of 50,000,the median of 79 surveyed by Bloomberg News. While the U.S. employment data point to weakening copper demand, this was overshadowed by the sliding dollar, Gross said.
- The U.S. Dollar Index, the basket of six major currencies including the yen and euro, dropped 0.4 percent after the Labor Department report. The report showed that the U.S. unemployment rate rose to 5.1 percent last month from 4.8 percent in February, the highest since September 2005.
- Aluminum price forecasts for 2008 have been raised by Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., Standard Bank Group Ltd., Deutsche Bank AG, Standard Chartered Plc and UBS AG since late last month. Supply of the metal used in beverage cans and cars may be curtailed following energy shortages in China and South Africa that have fueled increased production costs.
- South Korea's Public Procurement Service, a state-run body that manages strategic commodities, issued a tender to buy 6,000 metric tons of aluminum ingots due for shipment by June 30.
- Suppliers are to submit offers by 2 p.m. Seoul time on April 16 for the high-grade primary aluminum from Russia, China, Egypt or India, according to the procurement agency's Web site. The metal will be purchased at premiums over the London Metal Exchange official cash settlement prices.
MCX Copper April
Technical Outlook: Momentum studies are bullish but are now at overbought levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over up which is a bullish indication. The stochastics indicators are rising from oversold level, which is bullish and should support higher prices. The market's short-term trend is positive as the close remains above the 9-day EMA. The downside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat negative.
Recommendations - MCX Copper April: Buy at 343 Target 349 and 352 Stop loss at 339.50
MCX Zinc April
Technical Outlook: Momentum studies are bullish but are now at overbought levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over up which is a bullish indication. The stochastics indicators are rising from oversold level, which is bullish and should support higher prices. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day EMA. The upside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat positive.
Recommendations - MCX Zinc April: Buy at 93.50 Target 96 and 97.50 Stop loss at 92.80
are bullish but are now at overbought levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The have crossed over up which is a bullish indication. The stochastics indicators are rising from oversold level, which is bullish and should support higher prices. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day EMA. The upside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat positive.
MCX Nickel April
Technical Outlook: Momentum studies are bullish but are now at overbought levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over up which is a bullish indication. The stochastics indicators are rising from oversold level, which is bullish and should support higher prices. The market's
short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day EMA. The upside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat positive.
Recommendations: MCX Nickel April: Sell at 1190 Target 1155 and 1135 Stop loss at 1218
MCX Lead April
Technical Outlook: Momentum studies are bearish but are now at oversold levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs. The daily stochastics have crossed over down which is a bearish indication. The stochastics indicators are decreasing from overbought level, which is bearish and should support lower prices. The market's short-term trend is negative as the close remains below the 9-day EMA. The upside closing price reversal on the daily chart is somewhat positive.
Recommendations: MCX Lead April: Buy at 117.50 Target 120 and 122 Stop loss at 116.10
MCXARUN
9994500540
Technicals – MCX (Intra day calls)
CRUDE OIL (April) BULLISH ABOVE 4257 BEARISH BELOW 4237
GOLD (June) BULLISH ABOVE 11861 BEARISH BELOW 11818
SILVER (May) BULLISH ABOVE 23284 BEARISH BELOW 23179
COPPER (APRIL) BULLISH ABOVE 349.2 BEARISH BELOW 348.1
LEAD (April) BULLISH ABOVE 120.95 BEARISH BELOW 120.30
NICKEL (April) BULLISH ABOVE 1175 BEARISH BELOW 1167
ZINC (April) BULLISH ABOVE 94.6 BEARISH BELOW 94.05
MCXARUN
9994500540
GOLD (June) BULLISH ABOVE 11861 BEARISH BELOW 11818
SILVER (May) BULLISH ABOVE 23284 BEARISH BELOW 23179
COPPER (APRIL) BULLISH ABOVE 349.2 BEARISH BELOW 348.1
LEAD (April) BULLISH ABOVE 120.95 BEARISH BELOW 120.30
NICKEL (April) BULLISH ABOVE 1175 BEARISH BELOW 1167
ZINC (April) BULLISH ABOVE 94.6 BEARISH BELOW 94.05
MCXARUN
9994500540
GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS
Expectations of a half a percentage interest rate hike has increased after last week’s March payroll numbers which will support metals and energy prices at lower levels. The US dollar will trade with a softer bias unless the European central bank says that it will cut interest rates. Copper continues to rise with LME copper heading for $9000 as long as $8500 holds. Copper is the driver for base metals. Copper’s rise/fall directly affects other base metals. Nickel (LME) needs to break $31000 for another attempt at $37000 in the short term. Base metals will be volatile for the rest of April caught between global growth factors and liquidity factors. However we do not expect any major slide in base metals till the Olympics unless equity markets have a sustained medium term bull run.
The Indian rupee is caught between inflation and volatile stock markets. Inflation reached seven percent for the week ended March 22. The government will try and let the rupee appreciate to 39.50 and 39.00 to reduce inflation. An interest rate cut by the reserve bank of India in its annual policy meeting this month is out of question. There is speculation of a cash reserve ratio (CRR) hike. Indian rupee’s short term performance will be dependent on foreign portfolio flows. Unless the stock markets rise substantially, short term gains in the rupee will be limited.
It will be a technical trade in all metals and energies this week.
COPPER -- MAY FUTURE -- INTRA DAY PIVOT: $392.0
Copper targets $403.80 and $416.90 as long as $388 holds. Copper has to fall below $388 for $372.
NYMEX CRUDE OIL -- FUTURE -- INTRA DAY PIVOT: $104.10
Crude oil has to break $110-$112 this week else a fall to $99 and $96.
MCXARUN
9994500540
The Indian rupee is caught between inflation and volatile stock markets. Inflation reached seven percent for the week ended March 22. The government will try and let the rupee appreciate to 39.50 and 39.00 to reduce inflation. An interest rate cut by the reserve bank of India in its annual policy meeting this month is out of question. There is speculation of a cash reserve ratio (CRR) hike. Indian rupee’s short term performance will be dependent on foreign portfolio flows. Unless the stock markets rise substantially, short term gains in the rupee will be limited.
It will be a technical trade in all metals and energies this week.
COPPER -- MAY FUTURE -- INTRA DAY PIVOT: $392.0
Copper targets $403.80 and $416.90 as long as $388 holds. Copper has to fall below $388 for $372.
NYMEX CRUDE OIL -- FUTURE -- INTRA DAY PIVOT: $104.10
Crude oil has to break $110-$112 this week else a fall to $99 and $96.
MCXARUN
9994500540
Friday, April 4, 2008
OUTLOOK
June gold closed higher due to short covering on Thursday and above the 38% retracement level of the August-March rally crossing at 897.80. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off March's high, the 50% retracement level crossing at 854.30 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 956.10 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 925.00. Second resistance is the 25% retracement level crossing at 946.60. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 876.30. Second support is the 50% retracement level crossing at 854.30.
May silver closed higher on Thursday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold, diverging and are turning neutral hinting that a short-
term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 18.760 are needed to confirm that a short-
term low has been posted. If May extends this week's decline, the 62% retracement level crossing at 15.438 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 17.541 then the 38% retracement level crossing at 17.731. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 16.300 then the 62% retracement level crossing at 15.438.
May copper closed higher on Thursday as it extends Wednesday's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends this week's rally, March's high crossing at 402.40 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 377.06 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Thursday's high crossing at 393.25. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 402.40. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 378.30. Second support is Tuesday's low crossing at 370.90.
May crude oil closed lower on Thursday as it consolidated some of Wednesday's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 104.96 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If May renews this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 98.65 is the next downside target. Closes below the reaction low crossing 98.65 would renew this month's decline and could lead to a test of the 38% retracement level of the 2007-
2008-rally crossing at 94.17. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 104.96. Second resistance is today's high crossing at 106.44. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 99.55. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 98.65.
May Henry natural gas closed lower on Thursday and below the 10-day moving average crossing at 9.633 signaling that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If April extends today's decline, the 38% retracement level of the December-March rally crossing at 9.117 is the next downside target. Closes above Monday's high crossing at 10.210 would renew the rally off March's low while opening the door for a possible test of the contract high crossing at 10.365 later this spring. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 9.631 then Monday's high crossing at 10.210. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 9.386. Second support is the 38% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at 9.117.
MCXARUN
9994500540
May silver closed higher on Thursday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold, diverging and are turning neutral hinting that a short-
term low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 18.760 are needed to confirm that a short-
term low has been posted. If May extends this week's decline, the 62% retracement level crossing at 15.438 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 17.541 then the 38% retracement level crossing at 17.731. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 16.300 then the 62% retracement level crossing at 15.438.
May copper closed higher on Thursday as it extends Wednesday's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends this week's rally, March's high crossing at 402.40 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 377.06 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Thursday's high crossing at 393.25. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 402.40. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 378.30. Second support is Tuesday's low crossing at 370.90.
May crude oil closed lower on Thursday as it consolidated some of Wednesday's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 104.96 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If May renews this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 98.65 is the next downside target. Closes below the reaction low crossing 98.65 would renew this month's decline and could lead to a test of the 38% retracement level of the 2007-
2008-rally crossing at 94.17. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 104.96. Second resistance is today's high crossing at 106.44. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 99.55. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 98.65.
May Henry natural gas closed lower on Thursday and below the 10-day moving average crossing at 9.633 signaling that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If April extends today's decline, the 38% retracement level of the December-March rally crossing at 9.117 is the next downside target. Closes above Monday's high crossing at 10.210 would renew the rally off March's low while opening the door for a possible test of the contract high crossing at 10.365 later this spring. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 9.631 then Monday's high crossing at 10.210. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 9.386. Second support is the 38% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at 9.117.
MCXARUN
9994500540
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